Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 17.644719 20.543867 23.719035 27.447721 31.699292 36.388620 41.944940
2024-10-20 12.415405 16.239448 20.872422 26.865495 34.375896 43.436557 55.151070
2024-10-27 9.067393 13.036476 18.251432 25.532533 35.350216 48.031674 65.536475
2024-11-03 7.846646 12.173450 18.238204 27.229675 40.061637 57.525660 82.854932
2024-11-10 7.101559 11.763383 18.668730 29.438718 45.554563 68.455063 103.041860
2024-11-17 6.052027 10.673029 17.886387 29.685686 48.137481 75.421439 118.183442
2024-11-24 5.085209 9.521007 16.798298 29.246991 49.529502 80.641737 131.086443
2024-12-01 4.231892 8.396162 15.562763 28.356438 50.024870 84.426586 141.994895
2024-12-08 3.670194 7.681969 14.895772 28.283136 51.763789 90.208971 156.377744
2024-12-15 3.241504 7.136954 14.436540 28.482331 53.928259 96.788539 172.477341
2024-12-22 2.647016 6.159133 13.041522 26.810508 52.632480 97.453692 178.782436
2024-12-29 2.432766 5.922631 13.015019 27.657734 55.890670 106.085944 199.148073
2025-01-05 2.269841 5.794583 13.235120 29.105654 60.592403 117.963779 226.690135
2025-01-12 1.931876 5.216124 12.464914 28.524831 61.457327 123.180707 243.128660
2025-01-19 1.584071 4.538542 11.372185 27.123765 60.547075 125.034715 253.613853
2025-01-26 1.514049 4.533448 11.762928 28.917430 66.234561 139.763149 289.105832
2025-02-02 1.481008 4.617554 12.368216 31.249875 73.256736 157.602163 331.774682
2025-02-09 1.326109 4.340147 12.073650 31.510611 75.912674 167.063172 358.966846
2025-02-16 1.153810 3.974411 11.502513 31.047569 76.935545 173.306690 380.265945
2025-02-23 0.984029 3.574739 10.776525 30.107459 76.776712 177.078586 396.836370
2025-03-02 0.873915 3.332186 10.421989 30.030072 78.562270 185.030080 422.467629
2025-03-09 0.788081 3.147319 10.193749 30.240367 81.032824 194.617986 452.146418
2025-03-16 0.646873 2.737657 9.260045 28.475135 78.580626 193.289130 458.648060